economicsActiveApr 29, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

Fed decision in April?

Odds Comparison

8 outcomes · 1 source

Outcome	Implied Probability	Source
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? — No	99.9%	Polymarket
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? — No	99.8%	Polymarket
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? — No	99.8%	Polymarket
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? — Yes	99.5%	Polymarket
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? — No	0.5%	Polymarket
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? — Yes	0.3%	Polymarket
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? — Yes	0.3%	Polymarket
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? — Yes	0.1%	Polymarket

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? — No

99.9%

Polymarket

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? — No

99.8%

Polymarket

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? — No

99.8%

Polymarket

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? — Yes

99.5%

Polymarket

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? — No

0.5%

Polymarket

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? — Yes

0.3%

Polymarket

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? — Yes

0.3%

Polymarket

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? — Yes

0.1%

Polymarket